Economic Outlook

Recent Survey Results

Mid-America Manufacturing Ends Year on Sour Note

Manufacturing Loses Jobs for Ninth Straight Month 
 

December 2025 Survey Highlights:
  • Mid-America Business Conditions Index sank to its lowest level for 2025.
  • The regional manufacturing sector shed jobs for the ninth straight month.
  • The wholesale inflation gauge has moderated over the last several months.
  • Approximately, 37.5% of manufacturing supply managers oppose 2025 tariff increases.
  • On average, supply managers expect wage growth of 3.0% over the next 12 months, or approximately, equal to inflation at the consumer level.
  • Both export and import readings slumped below growth neutral.
  • According to U.S. International Trade Administration (ITA) data, regional manufacturing exports for the first three quarters of 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, fell by 5.5%.

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