Wholesale Inflation Remains Elevated with December Rate Hike Expected
October 2026 Survey Highlights:
The overall index moved above growth neutral for a ninth straight month.
For the fifth straight month, the employment index rose above growth neutral.
For the nine Mid-American states, the manufacturing sector boosted job growth by 8,600 jobs over the past 12 months for a +0.6% gain, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Four states in the region – Iowa, Nebraska, Oklahoma and South Dakota, lost manufacturing jobs over the past 12 months, while the remaining five Mid-America states more than offset these losses.
Manufacturing GDP growth continues to exceed manufacturing job growth.
The wholesale price gauge continues to indicate elevated inflationary pressures. On average, supply managers reported:
Transportation costs were up by 8.2% over the past three months.
Input prices are expected to grow 4.4% over the next six months.
Due to elevated inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve is very likely to raise short-term interest rates at its next meetings on December 8-9.